Fold to Probe Bet in Heads-Up (2-Max)

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Fold to Probe Bet in Heads-Up (2-Max)

Postby TIGANCIC » Fri Feb 21, 2025 4:25 am

Hello,

I am trying to create a custom stat for folding to a probe bet in heads-up (2-max) under different scenarios.

Scenario 1:
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: SB c-bets, BB calls.
Turn: Both players check.
River: BB probe bets, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.flg_f_cbet   
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_r.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.flg_f_cbet   
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Scenario 2:
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: Both players check.
Turn: BB probe bets, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Scenario 3 (Probe Barreling):
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: Both players check.
Turn: BB probe bets, SB calls.
River: BB probe bets again, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'C'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_r.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'C'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Could you confirm the best way to track these situations correctly? Are there any specific flags or conditions I should be careful with?

Thanks in advance!
TIGANCIC
 
Posts: 58
Joined: Fri Dec 20, 2024 8:00 am

Re: Fold to Probe Bet in Heads-Up (2-Max)

Postby Flag_Hippo » Fri Feb 21, 2025 8:12 am

TIGANCIC wrote:Scenario 1:
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: SB c-bets, BB calls.
Turn: Both players check.
River: BB probe bets, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.flg_f_cbet   
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_r.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.flg_f_cbet   
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Preflop action is not specified.

Flop expression doesn't specify a BB call. For example the BB might check-raise the cbet and SB calls.
TIGANCIC wrote:Scenario 2:
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: Both players check.
Turn: BB probe bets, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Preflop action is not specified.

You can't use tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X':

1. There is no flop cbet.

2. If the SB is the preflop aggressor it wouldn't be possible for them to face a cbet.
TIGANCIC wrote:Scenario 3 (Probe Barreling):
Preflop: SB raises, BB calls.
Flop: Both players check.
Turn: BB probe bets, SB calls.
River: BB probe bets again, SB folds.
Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'C'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_r.action = 'F'
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all
sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 9 
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 2 
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.enum_f_cbet_action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_t_bet_facing > 0 
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'C'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing > 0 
, 1, 0])

Same issues as scenario 2.
Flag_Hippo
Moderator
 
Posts: 17104
Joined: Tue Jan 31, 2012 7:50 am


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